Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.137538 0.161138 0.187120 0.217787 0.252926 0.291866 0.338217
2026-01-04 0.101381 0.133951 0.173738 0.225608 0.291095 0.370646 0.474177
2026-01-11 0.080432 0.116333 0.163719 0.230152 0.320069 0.436605 0.597961
2026-01-18 0.065792 0.102696 0.154657 0.231997 0.342759 0.493961 0.713848
2026-01-25 0.054851 0.091634 0.146467 0.232463 0.361775 0.546299 0.826024
2026-02-01 0.045744 0.081402 0.137433 0.229606 0.374452 0.589509 0.927763
2026-02-08 0.038290 0.072333 0.128540 0.225203 0.383399 0.626952 1.023051
2026-02-15 0.031565 0.063219 0.118058 0.216488 0.383944 0.650756 1.098545
2026-02-22 0.029261 0.061540 0.119742 0.227954 0.417977 0.729293 1.265195
2026-03-01 0.024797 0.055011 0.111902 0.221767 0.421336 0.758107 1.353566
2026-03-08 0.020865 0.048807 0.103718 0.213772 0.420366 0.779080 1.429850
2026-03-15 0.017952 0.044169 0.097822 0.209171 0.424709 0.808988 1.522865
2026-03-22 0.016240 0.041898 0.096430 0.213325 0.446082 0.871233 1.678282
2026-03-29 0.014983 0.040450 0.096559 0.220568 0.474126 0.947868 1.865399
2026-04-05 0.013637 0.038538 0.095409 0.224983 0.496958 1.016540 2.042838
2026-04-12 0.012263 0.036290 0.093182 0.226787 0.514598 1.076610 2.208342
2026-04-19 0.010975 0.034003 0.090515 0.227243 0.529359 1.132027 2.368548
2026-04-26 0.009656 0.031365 0.086627 0.224445 0.536894 1.173701 2.505003
2026-05-03 0.008429 0.028724 0.082329 0.220131 0.540631 1.207880 2.628858
2026-05-10 0.007165 0.025694 0.076573 0.211594 0.534098 1.220472 2.710353
2026-05-17 0.006925 0.025736 0.078816 0.222827 0.573197 1.330278 2.995316
2026-05-24 0.006002 0.023413 0.074369 0.216766 0.571798 1.354525 3.106008
2026-05-31 0.005137 0.021070 0.069487 0.208934 0.565373 1.367331 3.193403